Researchers are not expecting good news from the sixth major report of the UN climate panel (IPCC).
Major reports from the United Nations Climate Panel provide a comprehensive overview of what is known about climate change. They form the basis for policy formulation and are used by experts, researchers, journalists and academics.
The reports also provide an overview of the consequences for humans and nature, measures and possible future developments.
– The report will contain some bad news about where we are and where we are going, said climate researcher Piers Forster of the University of Leeds to BBC.
He said the sight is not completely black yet. He believes that one reason for optimism will be that the world can still limit global warming to 1.5 degrees compared to pre-industrial times.
“Optimism will be very important for the upcoming climate negotiations,” said Forster.
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It is the first part of the sixth main report (AR6) that will be presented on Monday at 10:00 am in Geneva. It contains five paths on how the world may develop in the coming decades, Reuters reported.
The rest of the report is expected to arrive next year.
More than 700 researchers from 90 countries have contributed to the work on AR6. Among other things, they have reviewed 14,000 research articles to understand what climate scientists agree and disagree on, the AP news agency reported.
In recent years, huge resources have been invested in climate research. The sixth main report (AR6) is expected to contain a number of new findings and updates to the conclusions and forecasts of the previous main report (AR5), which was published in 2013.
AR5 claimed, among other things, that it was “very likely” that climate change was caused by humans. He then pointed out that this was something the researchers thought was 95 percent likely.
“This will be the strongest warning so far,” British politician Alok Sharma told AFP. He will preside over the climate summit in Scotland in November.
He says the UN climate panel is expected to conclude more firmly that climate change is man-made.
Fear of consequences for people and nature.
It was in 2015 that the countries of the world adopted the Paris Agreement, in which they agreed to prevent the planet’s temperature from rising more than 2 degrees since before the industrial age.
The objective was that the temperature increase does not exceed 1.5 degrees.
in a special report As of 2018, the IPCC concluded that 0.5 degrees makes a big difference. At 2 degrees, the sea level will rise higher, the Arctic will be more often ice-free, and almost all of the world’s coral reefs will die.
But scientists have previously warned that the world is not on the right track.
– AR6 will be about breaking record after record when it comes to climate change. It will also show that we are in uncharted waters when it comes to rising sea levels and ice sheets, Kevin Levin of the Bezos Earth Fund told Reuters.
– The report will emphasize how urgent it is for world authorities to make an additional effort in the field of climate, he emphasized.